Office demand remains robust

Published: 09 July 2019

Demand for office space in Edinburgh has remained robust despite the headwinds caused by a protracted Brexit process, according to analysis from Knight Frank.

Office supply is now at record lows in the city centre, with little coming on stream in the immediate term tilting the office market in favour of landlords.

The independent commercial property consultancy said there were 500,000 sq. ft. of live named requirements in the city, the bulk of which was made up by demand for Grade A space. This is more than double the 10-year average annual Grade A take-up of 220,000 sq. ft. 

Occupier activity between April and June saw the supply of office space diminish to record lows by the end of Q2 2019, with city centre take-up in excess of 110,000 sq. ft. Professional services firms represented the highest share of activity, followed by finance, banking and insurance and the technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sectors. 

There is now just 235,000 sq. ft. of Grade A space available in Edinburgh city centre and, while a handful of new developments are under construction, most are already wholly or partially pre-let to occupiers. Among them, Capital Square, expected to complete in Q3 of 2020, has already let 43,174 sq. ft. and 25,265 sq. ft. to law firms Brodies and Pinsent Masons, respectively. 

The largest deal of the second quarter was WeWork securing 44,000 sq. ft. at 80 George Street. Knight Frank said the arrival of the co-working firm could act as a catalyst for similar operators to set up in Edinburgh, particularly following a recent report from Tech Nation that named the city as one of the top locations for tech companies in the UK.

In spite of the continuing ambiguity surrounding Brexit, it’s been another quarter of robust demand and diminishing supply.

Charlotte Swearman, Office Agency Surveyor, Knight Frank

 

Charlotte Swearman, Office Agency Surveyor at Knight Frank Edinburgh, said: “In fact, supply is now at record lows and the amount of available Grade A accommodation is just over one year’s average take-up. Space is perilously low in the city centre, with little coming on stream in the immediate term. 

“Edinburgh’s current dynamics have tilted the office market in favour of landlords – our projections indicate prime rents will hit £36 per sq. ft. by the end of the year. While that might be good news for landlords, they will need to adapt to the changing tenant profile in Edinburgh. 

“Tech companies have consistently accounted for around 30% of take-up over the past few years and they have quite different requirements to the city’s more traditional occupiers: they have an insatiable appetite for flexible terms that allow them to grow and contract. The arrival of WeWork later this year could prove a turning point by intensifying the pressure on landlords to offer new kinds of leases and refurbish their space to reflect the evolving needs of occupiers in Edinburgh.”

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